India is simple to understand
if you are willing to shed all the fuzzy romantic spiritual notions about it.
Forget the sadhus, the yoga, etc. It's just a capitalist democracy luckily with
the freedoms of expression and criticism associated with that democracy. The
enduring nature of that fragile and chaotic democracy has been the most
significant achievement over the past six decades.
As people rise above desperate poverty, the easy availability of images and information over TV makes people aware of their middle class existence. The youth is aspiring to more and more of the fruits of a consumerist culture. As people gain access to those products -- such as cellphones, LCD TVs, refrigerators, washing machines, ACs, cars -- they realize that oh! Owning them does not provide nirvana which is what they had hoped for. They aspire for more of the fruits of a consumer economy. The cycle of desire, satiating that desire, and then new desires cropping up, endures.
No different than any other consumerist society. Let's remember India is at around $1,500 per capita compared to $40,000 per capita for Europe and America. If America and Europe with all the resources and brain power at their disposal have not been able to convert their countries into Shangri La, my fear is that India will not be able to do so either. The export and outsourcing-driven economic growth will stall at around $6,000. It always does. It's now happening for China already. It has happened previously for South Korea and Japan. At any rate, I do not see India being home to the kind of crazily passionate hardware innovators and hard workers that the East Asian countries are.
The future will see tragedies whose toll will be counted in human lives and not merely in terms of the hundreds of millions who were inconvenienced or plunged into AC-less darkness because of a power failure in recent days. There's sadly very little recognition of the cataclysms lying ahead -- either because no one sees the approaching volcanic lava of catastrophes or because those who are smart enough to foresee it realize that the masses of India are too dumb and too resigned to their fates to do anything about it. The smart Indians mostly tend to leave India and settle abroad. Not many countries are in the ignominious state where the children of the executive head of that country are living abroad. I do not know of any of the children of Eisenhower, JFK, LBJ, Nixon, Ford, Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, or Obama/Romney living in India. The daughter(s) of the PM of India live(s) in America.
As people rise above desperate poverty, the easy availability of images and information over TV makes people aware of their middle class existence. The youth is aspiring to more and more of the fruits of a consumerist culture. As people gain access to those products -- such as cellphones, LCD TVs, refrigerators, washing machines, ACs, cars -- they realize that oh! Owning them does not provide nirvana which is what they had hoped for. They aspire for more of the fruits of a consumer economy. The cycle of desire, satiating that desire, and then new desires cropping up, endures.
No different than any other consumerist society. Let's remember India is at around $1,500 per capita compared to $40,000 per capita for Europe and America. If America and Europe with all the resources and brain power at their disposal have not been able to convert their countries into Shangri La, my fear is that India will not be able to do so either. The export and outsourcing-driven economic growth will stall at around $6,000. It always does. It's now happening for China already. It has happened previously for South Korea and Japan. At any rate, I do not see India being home to the kind of crazily passionate hardware innovators and hard workers that the East Asian countries are.
The future will see tragedies whose toll will be counted in human lives and not merely in terms of the hundreds of millions who were inconvenienced or plunged into AC-less darkness because of a power failure in recent days. There's sadly very little recognition of the cataclysms lying ahead -- either because no one sees the approaching volcanic lava of catastrophes or because those who are smart enough to foresee it realize that the masses of India are too dumb and too resigned to their fates to do anything about it. The smart Indians mostly tend to leave India and settle abroad. Not many countries are in the ignominious state where the children of the executive head of that country are living abroad. I do not know of any of the children of Eisenhower, JFK, LBJ, Nixon, Ford, Carter, Reagan, Bush, Clinton, Bush, or Obama/Romney living in India. The daughter(s) of the PM of India live(s) in America.
There’s glib – almost cynical – tributes paid to
the ‘great sacrifices’ made by the freedom fighting generation. I can decipher
no such thing. I am no historian but surely anyone can inform themselves about
the facts of the Second World War which was contemporaneous with the freedom
movement of India. About 40 million died in that conflict worldwide using
conservative estimates. Six million Jews alone died in Hitler’s death chambers.
No one lost more than Russia, or the then Soviet Union. Germany ultimately lost
the war and also paid a heavy price in the loss of German lives.
What about India? India saw the death of
millions in the tragic Bengal famine of 1942-43. But surely those deaths can’t
be counted as sacrifices made in the freedom struggle. India lost 90,000
soldiers fighting for the British in Iraq, formerly known as Mesopotamia. The
British built the India Gate in New Delhi in their honor.
Japan captured 90,000 Indian soldiers fighting
on behalf of the British in the Second World War. The Indian soldiers who chose
to fight with the British surely can’t be counted as India’s freedom fighters.
The only deaths in the freedom struggle that I
am familiar with occurred in the Jalianwalabagh massacre. That massacre as we
know was a brutal butchering of innocent people. People were in a confined
space and attending a meeting and Dyer decided to surreptitiously enter the
arena and kill as many as he could. People tried to save their lives by jumping
into the well if they could.
The complex events leading to India’s
independence in 1947 need not be oversimplified. The British did not flee India
because they suddenly got intimidated. The history of British occupation
happened in large measure with the help of Indians. India has, unfortunately
been a very divided nation for centuries.
In fact there was hardly ever a geographic
territory known as India whose boundaries ever approached the scale of present
day India. Various kings and emperors ruled over different parts of India. The
British East India Company were private traders who came in to do trade and saw
the divisions and saw an opportunity and started fighting and winning wars with
Indian kings back in the 18th century. Slowly they expanded their rule
over India with other wins.
The Sepoy Mutiny of 1857 brought out into the
open the troubling aspects of that private company running India as their
privately-owned country. The British government decided to take direct control
of India through an act in the British Parliament.
Thereafter, two-thirds of India was run from
London. The British considered India the jewel in their imperial crown simply
because Empire was profitable. In the 20th century Britain got embroiled in
local European wars. The First World War bled Britain considerably.
Indians were awakening to the idea of freedom in
the 1920s. Slowly the British rulers started electoral democracy in the Indian
provinces. They sought to divide the people of India on the basis of religion –
Hindus, Muslims, and Sikhs.
Then the Second World War approached. The British
just scraped through – both because of Hitler’s foolishness in launching a war
with Russia and Japan’s foolishness in attacking the United States in Pearl
Harbor thus forcing America to enter the war.
Although Japan and Germany turned into complete
ruins and ghost towns as they suffered heavily from Allied bombardment, England
suffered heavily financially as well. England owed money to India at the end of
the Second World War.
The Quit India movement of 1942 by Gandhi had
been contained and had been a failure. One can compare it to the present day
Anna Hazare movement. But in 1945, after the end of the Second World War and as
Churchill was voted out by the people and Atlee voted in, there was never
really any doubt that India was going to get independence.
It is our good luck that the leaders then
leading the freedom movement went for full independence and did not settle for
any stupid concepts like dominion status whereby the British monarch would
still have been the head of state of India.
Only the dates remained to be decided.
Initially, India was supposed to be freed by 1948. That was the mandate with
which Mountbatten came to India as the new Viceroy. However riots were
spreading all over India. The British decided to flee as soon as they could. So
the date of independence was advanced to August 15, 1947.
The communal bloodbath however nevertheless
happened and many hundreds of thousands of people lost their lives.
And so the journey of independent India started
– on a somewhat bloody note. Nehru led the nation for more than a decade and a
half of its initial history. So much needed to be done. When you consider the
state of the nation in 2012, I shudder to think how backward India must have been back in
1947!
Imagine how much illiteracy there must have been
and how little of industry. So the task fell upon the leaders in government to
develop basic industries such as steel plants and institutions of higher
education such as the IITs.
In the initial three decades after India’s
independence, India was unfortunately led mostly by only two people: Jawaharlal Nehru
and Indira Gandhi. Dynasties have no place in democracy. But then people of
India clearly elected those leaders voluntarily. India did not lose faith in
democracy despite massive challenges.
The occasional wars occurred with Pakistan and
China. The terrible famines mercifully did not recur. The Green Revolution
especially ensured that India produced enough foodgrains to feed the growing
population.
A nation that had a population of 320 million in
1947 now has a population of 1,222 million in 2012. This is very unfortunate.
People talk of the demographic dividend but I am not convinced. But that’s a
different debate.
India under Indira once went in the direction of
dictatorship during the Emergency. However, India returned to democracy soon
enough.
By the 40th anniversary of its independence,
India had two major assassinations – both having ‘Gandhi’ for a last name – and
the man on top was another Gandhi. For power to have passed from a Nehru at the
time of independence to his daughter who was assassinated thus creating
sympathy for her son, this does not look good AT ALL in a pluralistic
democracy.
Meanwhile, on the economic front, the poverty of
India continued to persist. As people continued to produce more babies than
they could afford to educate, India had and continues to suffer the curse of
too many individuals who are impoverished in the most acute way possible – a
lack of education.
The economic policies of the government of India
over the decades tended to have socialist leanings. The entrepreneurial energy
of the people of India was foolishly kept in check as the government subscribed
to some crazy notions of divisions of wealth and keeping predatory companies
out of India.
India hit a wall on the economic front in 1991.
Having no other alternatives, India decided to open up its economy. Since then
it has grown at a rate which is essential to enlarge the size of the economic
pie and make it big enough so that there will be something for the billion plus
Indians.
I remember from the 1980s about dreaming about
the fabled 21st century. Here we are. INSIDE the 21st. WELL into it. But the
bullock carts persist. Women still plant the rice saplings by hand in the rice
growing states of India which still depend egregiously on the monsoon rains.
So here we are. That’s where the story stands
today. 66 years since independence. For a human being, 66 is past the
retirement age and time to let go of Earthly attachments and sort of remain
ready to say hello to unexpected visitors such as Death. That does not apply to
nations.
Some say India is a young nation. Some say the
Indian civilization is as old as human beings themselves. What is undisputed is
what is there for all to see.
· A per capita income
level of around $1,500. Compare that to the level in the developed nations who
are in the $40,000 range.
· Among the highest rates
of infant mortality and maternal mortality in the world.
· The most number of
illiterate people in the world.
· A total population of
1.22 billion and still growing.
· A booming call center
industry. A booming IT services sector. Among the largest number of
English speakers in the world.
· Millions of graduates
coming out of colleges every year. Half a million engineers graduating per
year.
· A looming water crisis.
Ever growing cities creaking under over-population.
· More people in India
have cellphones than toilets. A story of a successful telecom revolution, a
connectivity revolution but a story of failure in providing basic facilities
such as sanitation and clean drinking water.
· And most recently, India
acquired the dubious distinction of having had the largest power failure in the
history of the world affecting 600 or 700 million people. Not to forget of
course that probably 300 million people in India are still to have access to
electricity.
Only the very brave will be ecstatically hopeful
about India’s future, about India’s imminent emergence as a superpower. I am
not that brave. We live in a world of frenetic innovation. Intellectual ability
is what defines our civilization now. We no longer employ thousands of people
to manufacture cars in assembly lines. Robots do the work.
Humans design ever more miniaturized
microprocessors and we understand more and more about the human genome.
In the last 100 years, the totality of the
knowledge base of our species has changed unrecognizably. Flying was just
beginning a century ago. Look at where civil aviation is today.
We did not go to space a century ago. Now it is
more than 40 years since we visited the Moon. We now land advanced robotic
explorers on the surface of Mars half a billion kilometers away.
There’s no place in our civilization for a
person whose only life skills are to be able to work as a rickshaw driver.
Women in this age should not be spending their lives looking after other
people’s kids or washing dishes in other people’s homes or cooking for other
people or keeping other people’s houses clean and dust free.
But it’s the amazing thing about our
civilization that it can be simultaneously so advanced as well as so backward.
Civil wars, religious riots, ethnic clashes, female feticide and more are quite
commonplace and they will probably continue to exist for another century.
I wonder when we in India will see the end of
the bullock cart – that venerable mode of transport of old India. I have myself
travelled in a bullock cart three decades ago. Will it survive into the 22nd
century?
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